Dr. Pry warns that the gross incompetence displayed by the Biden Administration in Afghanistan, in the context of U.S. superpower responsibilities in Europe, Asia, and the Middle East, where the stakes are much higher than Afghanistan, could kill millions. Given Biden Administration bungling in Afghanistan, how can they be trusted to protect the U.S. from World War III with Russia and/or China, or from North Korea and Iran?
Dr. Pry makes the case that Afghanistan is NOT Joe Biden’s first or most important national security and foreign policy crisis and failure. The Biden Administration’s impotent response to Russia’s cyber-attack on Colonial Pipeline, that supplies half the petroleum products to the eastern U.S.—and to east coast military bases that would project U.S. power to defend NATO—was far more threatening to U.S. and allied national security than Afghanistan. Biden’s cancellation of President Trump’s Executive Order to stop U.S. importation from China of transformers, SCADAS, and other equipment critical to the electric grid is another national security blunder more important than Afghanistan. Hurricane Ida and its thousands of victims, over 400,000 Americans still suffering from no electric power, the blackout projected to last until the end of September or beyond, is evidence that the Biden Administration is failing to protect the electric grid from threats more serious than hurricanes, like EMP and Cyber Warfare.
Dr. Pry discusses the larger national security implications of the Biden Administration’s catastrophe in Afghanistan. The Afghanistan debacle could be the final straw that destroys U.S. credibility as the leader of the Free World. U.S. allies may now have such little trust in Washington that they think they are on their own. Japan, South Korea, Taiwan and others could start nuclear weapons programs to protect themselves. Worse, and more likely, U.S. allies (including NATO) may “go neutral” or cut deals with Russia and China to protect their national security. Thus, without fighting World War III, the block of totalitarian states and tyrannies that is Russia-China-North Korea-Iran may come to dominate the World Order. To make matters even worse, if Pakistan falls to radical Islam, virtually overnight the Taliban could become a nuclear threat to the U.S. homeland.
Dr. Pry challenges the notion that the catastrophe in Afghanistan is the result of a conspiracy by Washington “evil geniuses” operating in the Deep State with a hidden agenda invisible to ordinary people. Usually a catastrophe is just a catastrophe, not a conspiracy. The failure in Afghanistan is the result of decades of growing incompetence and corruption in the defense and intelligence communities. Washington is no longer run by “the best and the brightest” but by Ivy league dolts and sycophants, operating in the fantasy world that is the Washington bubble, who in the real world could not be trusted to run a hotdog stand. Dr. Pry describes numerous intelligence failures that have happened in the past, and will likely happen in the future, that are not deep conspiracies, but result from brainless incompetence.
Dr. Pry analyzes the catastrophic events unfolding in Afghanistan, yet another failure of Washington elites, a catastrophe unforeseen by them, but foreseen by most average Americans. How could Washington blunder so? Gross incompetence. The U.S. should have withdrawn during the Winter, not during the fighting season, and should not have withdrawn close-air support from the Warthog fighter aircraft, the only thing keeping the Taliban at bay. Most fundamentally, the U.S. should never have engaged in “nation-building” in Iraq or Afghanistan. Especially in Afghanistan, most of the population still lives in the social and cultural equivalent of the Dark Ages. The idea of converting these ancient tribal societies into secular-humanist-feminist democracies was always doomed to fail.
Dr. Pry describes China’s rapid buildup of nuclear missiles and warheads, that may already rival or far exceed the number of nuclear weapons and capabilities of the U.S. nuclear deterrent. China is discovered building more ICBM silos in the desert, the number of new ICBM silos now increasing from 150 to 250 or more. China is discovered drilling a new tunnel at its Lop Nor nuclear test site, apparently for nuclear testing supposedly prohibited by the Comprehensive Test Ban Treaty. Western journalists, academics, and the usual suspects rush to China’s defense, making excuses, blaming America.
Dr. Pry uses as a “teaching moment” the deployment of the W-88 nuclear warhead to U.S. ballistic missile submarines, the press describing the W-88 as a “new” and “modernized” warhead, when in fact it is a “recycled” warhead that was so old, with so many technical problems, that Washington is really just celebrating the W-88’s rescue from the junkyard. Dr. Pry also uses as a “teaching moment” efforts by the press and Washington policymakers to “bury their heads in the sand” to the nuclear threat from China represented by recent discovery of 145 new ICBM silos being built by China in the desert. Washington is so brainwashed by arms control theory about the “nuclear balance” that they ignore simple strategic arithmetic proving China already has, or soon will have, a nuclear first strike capability when it deploys just 40 DF-41 ICBMs.
Dr. Pry notes the recent discovery China is building 145 new missile silos, probably for their DF-41 ICBM that can carry 10 warheads. This means China may have 1,450 nuclear warheads just on the DF-41 ICBM, not the 200-300 warheads estimated by (the perpetually wrong) U.S. Intelligence Community. Dr. Pry and his colleagues have estimated China may have over 3,000 nuclear warheads, far more than the United States. Dr. Pry debunks a new report on “Cyber Power” by the left-leaning International Institute of Strategic Studies that falsely claims the U.S. is the world’s only “Cyber Superpower.” “Cyber Power” is not the same thing as “Cyber Warfighting Power” in which Russia, China, and North Korea are superior.
Twenty years ago, the terrorist attacks of September 11, 2001, that killed some 3,000 Americans, was a psychological shock comparable to Imperial Japan’s surprise attack on the U.S. Pacific Fleet at Pearl Harbor on December 7, 1941, that bludgeoned the United States into World War II.
Now China is recently discovered building in the desert 145 new missile silos probably for its DF-41 intercontinental ballistic missile (ICBM). Discovery of the ICBM silos coincides with the 100th anniversary of the Chinese Communist Party Congress, at which dictator Xi Jinping announced China will dominate the world.
Generations of U.S. and allied policymakers, strategists, academics, and the general public have been conditioned by arms control theory, which is unique to our strategic culture, to measure our security against nuclear war by the “nuclear balance”—most simply, comparing the number of U.S. nuclear weapons to those of potential adversaries.
Colonial Pipeline was hacked and shutdown temporarily. Cyber-attacks can destroy pipelines, causing them to explode. Colonial Pipeline is crucial to fueling U.S. military power projection capabilities from the east coast to protect NATO, or to help Ukraine, during a Russian invasion. That is why the Colonial Pipeline was really targeted, not for the millions paid in ransom, but as a demonstration of Russia’s cyber-power. The Colonial Pipeline cyber-attack proves Russia is not bluffing.
Anti-nuclear activist groups like the so-called Physicians for Social Responsibility, Ploughshares, Union of Concerned Scientists, Federation of American Scientists, and others criticize the U.S. and national security professionals for supposedly wrongly “demonizing” Russia, China, North Korea and Iran. Hypocritically, these same anti-nuclear activists routinely "demonize" the U.S. national security community and any President and Congress that wants to modernize the U.S. nuclear deterrent to prevent World War III. More than one anti-nuclear activist has called me and my colleagues the “root of all evil” because we will not “give peace a chance” by engaging recklessly in yet another dangerously irresponsible act of unilateral disarmament—like banning U.S. ICBMs.
Non-Nuclear Electromagnetic Pulse (NNEMP) weapons, more commonly known as Radio-Frequency Weapons, are non-nuclear weapons that use a variety of means, including explosively driven generators or high-power microwaves, to emit an electromagnetic pulse similar to the E1 HEMP from a nuclear weapon, except less energetic and of much shorter radius.
Losing a nuclear war is surely not intended by the Biden administration and congressional allies, like Sen. Elizabeth Warren, D-Mass., and Rep. Adam Smith, D-Wash., Chairman of the powerful House Armed Services Committee. But their call for unilaterally abolishing U.S. intercontinental ballistic missiles (ICBMs) would surely lose a nuclear World War III.
The West consistently and unwittingly cooperates with North Korea by underestimating the advancement, sophistication, and strategic implications of North Korea’s nuclear weapons and missile programs. Thus, under the nose of the U.S. Intelligence Community, North Korea surprised the world by demonstrating ICBMs that could target any city in the United States and a hydrogen bomb in the summer of 2017.
The fate of Western Civilization may hinge on the great debate now raging within Washington’s beltway, virtually unnoted on nightly news and unknown to most Americans, over whether to replace the nation’s 400 obsolete Minuteman III intercontinental ballistic missiles (ICBMs) with a new ICBM — or unilaterally eliminate all U.S. ICBMs.